Lancaster City 1-2 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +33%
1.29/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.19
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stockton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Stockton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
10.09.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town squeezed past Lancaster City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Stockton Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lancaster City and 1.00 for Stockton Town.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?

Lancaster City 1-2 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 40%, draw 29%, Stockton Town 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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