Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities
Burnley v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Burnley 0-2 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea had too much for Burnley 2-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Chelsea saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.41 to 1.72.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Burnley against 2.67 for Chelsea.
Burnley vs Chelsea Result & Final Score
Burnley 0 - 2 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Burnley 15%, draw 22%, Chelsea 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.