Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.34
2-3
45%
1.88
4-5
27%
2.89
6+
8%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.75
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
17.2
X/1
22%
4.0
X/2
5%
13.4
X/X
11%
6.83
2/1
4%
20.85
2/2
6%
10.8
2/X
4%
19.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.0 — our 22% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Liverpool The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.92
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.07
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
36 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.91 xG 0.81
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
549 Passes 181
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
14.09.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
02.03.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
29.10.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
22.10.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
20.03.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
0 - 3
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.93 xG 1.58
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
559 Passes 151
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
50 Box Touches 23
39 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nottingham Forest made light work of Liverpool 3-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (59%) landed.

On the day, possession split 74% to 26% in Liverpool's favour, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.93 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Liverpool against 0.50 for Nottingham Forest.

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Result & Final Score

Liverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 69%, draw 18%, Nottingham Forest 13%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
22 Nov 2025
15:30 Burnley vs Chelsea Analysis →
18:00 Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace Analysis →
18:00 Bournemouth vs West Ham United Analysis →
18:00 Fulham vs Sunderland Analysis →
18:00 Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford Analysis →
20:30 Newcastle United vs Manchester City Analysis →