Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
15%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.93
1/2
6%
20.1
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
8%
10.15
X/2
18%
4.17
X/X
9%
6.29
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.04
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 62%
+18% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.10/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.18
+21% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.3
15.6 Crosses 21.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Liverpool
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.05 xG 2.15
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
183 Passes 578
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
22.10.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
20.03.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
0-1
AWAY Liverpool
0.97 xG 2.07
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 12
187 Passes 571
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool squeezed past Nottingham Forest 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 29% of the ball to Liverpool's 71%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.97 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.33 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 29%, draw 23%, Liverpool 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
2 Mar 2024
18:00 Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
18:00 Everton vs West Ham United Analysis →
18:00 Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis →
18:00 Brentford vs Chelsea Analysis →
18:00 Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Analysis →
20:30 Luton Town vs Aston Villa Analysis →