Tottenham 3-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
6.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.6
X/1 EV+ ✓
26%
3.99
X/2
6%
11.3
X/X
11%
6.71
2/1
8%
19.75
2/2
11%
7.8
2/X
5%
15.95
Value flag · X/1 at 3.99 — our 26% vs market 19.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.88/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.2 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Crystal Palace
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 0.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
493 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.05.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
04.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-4 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
26.12.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 3-0 HT 2-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
11.09.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
07.03.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
3-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.91 xG 0.32
78% Ball Possession 22%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
732 Passes 158
90% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham got the better of Crystal Palace 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 78% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 22%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.91 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tottenham and 0.83 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

Tottenham 3-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 51%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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