Everton 1-3 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
4.87
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.49/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.59
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.4 Crosses 19.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
3W-0D-3L
AWAY West Ham United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
347 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
21.01.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
18.09.2022 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
03.04.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
17.10.2021 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
09.05.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
1-3
AWAY West Ham United
2.73 xG 1.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Everton vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United saw off Everton 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Everton at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Everton had 55% of the ball to West Ham United's 45%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.73 to 1.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Everton.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Everton and 0.83 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Everton vs West Ham United?

Everton 1-3 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Everton 43%, draw 27%, West Ham United 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Everton)
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