Newcastle United 3-0 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Newcastle United
3-0 HT 2-0
Wolverhampton
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
11%
9.26
X/X
9%
6.03
2/1
6%
20.45
2/2
10%
6.28
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
2.28/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.38
+30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.3 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-2 HT 1-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
12.03.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
28.08.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
08.04.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
02.10.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
27.02.2021 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Newcastle United 3-0 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
3-0
AWAY Wolverhampton
2.19 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
354 Passes 480
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United cruised past Wolverhampton 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Newcastle United had 44% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 56%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.19 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newcastle United and 1.17 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton?

Newcastle United 3-0 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 51%, draw 23%, Wolverhampton 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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