Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Nottingham Forest
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Liverpool
FAK
Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest nicked a narrow win over Liverpool 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liverpool had 69% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 31%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.94 to 0.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Liverpool.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Liverpool and 0.25 for Nottingham Forest.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 62%, draw 19%, Nottingham Forest 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.