Southampton 0-3 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Southampton
0-3 HT 0-2
Manchester United
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Southampton vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
21.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
8%
8.45
X/2
18%
4.4
X/X
9%
5.79
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.33
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.0 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southampton v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.01/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.36
-32% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 82%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
16.3 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Southampton vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Manchester United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.84 xG 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 395
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 0-0 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
27.08.2022 Southampton Southampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
12.02.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-1 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
22.08.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
02.02.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 9-0 HT 4-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
29.11.2020 Southampton Southampton 2-3 HT 2-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Southampton 0-3 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
0-3
AWAY Manchester United
1.12 xG 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 7
421 Passes 556
88% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United cruised past Southampton 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Southampton had 44% of the ball to Manchester United's 56%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 1.12 to 2.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Southampton and 2.50 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Manchester United?

Southampton 0-3 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Southampton 28%, draw 24%, Manchester United 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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