Fulham 1-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Fulham
1-1 HT 1-0
West Ham United
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Fulham vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.09
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
18%
5.11
X/2
11%
6.66
X/X
12%
4.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.51
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.64/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.67
+45% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.3 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fulham vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
2W-2D-2L
AWAY West Ham United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
491 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.04.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
10.12.2023 Fulham Fulham 5-0 HT 3-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
08.04.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.12.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ
09.10.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 3-1 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
06.02.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Fulham 1-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-1
AWAY West Ham United
1.54 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
316 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fulham vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham and West Ham United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fulham had 54% of the ball to West Ham United's 46%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.54 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fulham and 0.83 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Fulham vs West Ham United?

Fulham 1-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fulham 42%, draw 26%, West Ham United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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