Crystal Palace 2-2 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

Crystal Palace
2-2 HT 0-1
Leicester City
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Crystal Palace vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.0
X/1
19%
3.91
X/2
10%
9.95
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.15
2/2
10%
7.73
2/X
5%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.79/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.67
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.5 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Crystal Palace vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Leicester City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
15.10.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
10.04.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 2-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
03.10.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-2 HT 0-2 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
26.04.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
28.12.2020 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP

Crystal Palace 2-2 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
2-2
AWAY Leicester City
2.55 xG 1.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
503 Passes 203
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace and Leicester City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 67% of the ball to Leicester City's 33%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.55 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.33 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Leicester City?

Crystal Palace 2-2 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 51%, draw 23%, Leicester City 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crystal Palace) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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