Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Manchester City
İNP
1-2
HT 1-1
Brentford
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Brentford
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Manchester City
İNP
Manchester City 2-1 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City nicked a narrow win over Brentford 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Manchester City had 54% of the ball to Brentford's 46%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.17 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manchester City and 0.67 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Brentford?
Manchester City 2-1 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 59%, draw 21%, Brentford 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.