Leganes 0-3 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.48
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.2
X/2
9%
6.26
X/X
11%
4.12
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
17%
4.64
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -13%
1.15/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.40
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.3 Crosses 16.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Almeria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 Passes 385
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Almeria Almeria 2-3 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İSPK
29.05.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-2 HT 2-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
29.10.2021 Almeria Almeria 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
27.03.2021 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
17.02.2021 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
23.01.2016 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 2-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
0-3
AWAY Almeria
2.60 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
377 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria ran out comfortable winners over Leganes 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Almeria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leganes had 58% of the ball to Almeria's 42%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.60 to 0.72 — on chances, Leganes could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leganes and 1.33 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Almeria?

Leganes 0-3 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leganes 38%, draw 27%, Almeria 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5
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