Eibar 1-2 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.4
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
18%
4.02
X/2
7%
9.16
X/X
13%
4.14
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
10%
8.28
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.55/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.37
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.7 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 0-2 Eibar Eibar İS2
14.12.2024 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
11.02.2024 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
21.10.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-3 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
21.04.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
03.10.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-2
AWAY Real Zaragoza
3.59 xG 1.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
502 Passes 211
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 5
52 Crosses 7
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza nicked a narrow win over Eibar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar had 67% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 33%, shots finished 23-3, expected goals 3.59 to 1.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Eibar.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eibar and 1.00 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Real Zaragoza?

Eibar 1-2 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eibar 49%, draw 27%, Real Zaragoza 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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