Almeria vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Almeria
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Leganes
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS2
2-1
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS2
2-1
HT 2-0
Almeria
İS2
3-2
HT 3-0
Leganes
İS2
Almeria 2-3 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes nicked a narrow win over Almeria 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Leganes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almeria had 52% of the ball to Leganes's 48%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.86 to 2.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Leganes's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almeria and 1.50 for Leganes.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Leganes?
Almeria 2-3 Leganes in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Leganes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almeria 37%, draw 28%, Leganes 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.