Elche 0-4 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 15 Jan 2025

Elche
0-4 HT 0-2
Atletico Madrid
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2024/2025

Elche vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.33
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
10.55
X/2
19%
3.86
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.06
2/X
5%
16.2
Value flag · X/1 at 10.55 — our 12% vs market 6.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 62%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.41/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.31
-100% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
31.0 Crosses 13.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Elche vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.67 xG 1.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
414 Passes 402
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
29.12.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS1
11.05.2022 Elche Elche 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
22.08.2021 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
01.05.2021 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
19.12.2020 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1

Elche 0-4 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
0-4
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.51 xG 1.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 9
479 Passes 427
89% Pass Accuracy 91%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elche vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid swept aside Elche 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Elche had 53% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 47%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.51 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Elche and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Elche vs Atletico Madrid?

Elche 0-4 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Elche 24%, draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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