Pontevedra 0-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 54%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.52/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.79
+139% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 76%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
13.2 Crosses 29.8
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
0-1
AWAY Getafe
0.65 xG 0.72
83% Ball Possession 17%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
674 Passes 77
88% Pass Accuracy 52%
22 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe nicked a narrow win over Pontevedra 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Getafe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pontevedra had 83% of the ball to Getafe's 17%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.65 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Getafe?

Pontevedra 0-1 Getafe in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 26%, draw 24%, Getafe 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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