Barcelona 5-1 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.32
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
27%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.88
2-3 Goals
35%
2.19
4-5 Goals
30%
2.39
6+ Goals
16%
4.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.49
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.95
X/1
17%
4.09
X/2
10%
17.65
X/X
9%
9.33
2/1
7%
18.0
2/2
8%
13.15
2/X
6%
21.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 10% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
71%
-19.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+15.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.04/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/1.88
+43% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
47.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
15.7 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Betis
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.28 xG 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
570 Passes 292
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
21.01.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-4 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
16.09.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 5-0 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
29.04.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 3-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
01.02.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
12.01.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İSSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
5-1
AWAY Real Betis
2.02 xG 1.75
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
581 Passes 225
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona cruised past Real Betis 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona had 69% of the ball to Real Betis's 31%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.02 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Barcelona and 1.17 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Real Betis?

Barcelona 5-1 Real Betis in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 52%, draw 20%, Real Betis 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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