Fiorentina U20 1-1 Milan U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.42/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.95
+34% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +74%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Milan U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
19.01.2025 Milan U20 Milan U20 0-1 HT 0-1 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
28.10.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-3 HT 0-1 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Milan U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 and Milan U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 1.50 for Milan U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Milan U20?

Fiorentina U20 1-1 Milan U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Milan U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 54%, draw 22%, Milan U20 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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