Havelse 2-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Nov 2025

Havelse
2-1 HT 1-0
Ulm 1846
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Havelse vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.94
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.55
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
8%
6.46
X/2
15%
5.73
X/X
10%
5.61
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.27
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Havelse v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 43%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.90
-31% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses 19.4
0.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Havelse 2-1 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
2-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
143 Passes 391
58% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse edged past Ulm 1846 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ulm 1846 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Havelse had 33% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 67%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Ulm 1846?

Havelse 2-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Havelse 31%, draw 26%, Ulm 1846 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulm 1846) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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