Viktoria Köln 1-5 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
17%
6.33
X/2
13%
5.82
X/X
8%
5.42
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.39
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.14/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.2 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Verl
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
316 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
22.09.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
20.12.2023 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
05.08.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
01.04.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
07.10.2022 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
1-5
AWAY Verl
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
310 Passes 507
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl cruised past Viktoria Köln 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Verl found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 40% of the ball to Verl's 60%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.17 for Verl.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Verl?

Viktoria Köln 1-5 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 40%, draw 21%, Verl 39%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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