Astoria Walldorf 1-2 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.68/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.60
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
08.03.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-2 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
31.08.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-2 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 4-1 HT 3-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-2 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II squeezed past Astoria Walldorf 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Astoria Walldorf at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Astoria Walldorf had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 1.00 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz 05 II?

Astoria Walldorf 1-2 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astoria Walldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 49%, draw 21%, Mainz 05 II 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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