Kortrijk 4-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
16%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
16%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
Crosses 15.1
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lommel United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.77 xG 1.35
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
256 Passes 493
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 4-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BELP
19.05.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BELP
02.02.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 1-3 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
4-2
AWAY Lommel United
2.67 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
329 Passes 445
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk beat Lommel United 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kortrijk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 44% of the ball to Lommel United's 56%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.67 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kortrijk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Kortrijk and 1.00 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Lommel United?

Kortrijk 4-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 52%, draw 21%, Lommel United 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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