Caernarfon Town 4-0 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.5pp
15%
Draw
8%
+6.3pp
20%
Away Win
6%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 9%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
448 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town ran out comfortable winners over Penrhyncoch 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Caernarfon Town 4-0 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 66%, draw 15%, Penrhyncoch 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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