Carmarthen Town 1-3 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+11.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.2pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -60%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay beat Carmarthen Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Carmarthen Town 1-3 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 34%, draw 19%, Colwyn Bay 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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