Treowen Stars 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 22 Nov 2025

Treowen Stars
1-1 HT 0-1
Pontypridd Town AFC
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2025/2026

Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.4pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.0pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Treowen Stars v Pontypridd Town AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treowen Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
The Meetings
03.10.2025 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 5-2 HT 2-1 Treowen Stars GALFAW
POST-MATCH Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treowen Stars and Pontypridd Town AFC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Treowen Stars 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Treowen Stars 34%, draw 21%, Pontypridd Town AFC 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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