Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.05
-6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Valletta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-1 Valletta Valletta MLTP
02.03.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
28.10.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
15.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
11.02.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
08.10.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-0
AWAY Valletta
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans edged past Valletta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 50% of the ball to Valletta's 50%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.67 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta?

Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 48%, draw 29%, Valletta 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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