Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
3-1
HT 1-1
Al Fateh
SAKK
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Fateh
SUUD
Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Al Fateh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Al Fateh 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 68% of the ball to Al Fateh's 32%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.88 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.17 for Al Fateh.
What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh?
Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fateh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 76%, draw 11%, Al Fateh 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.