Karpaty Lviv 1-2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.54
Over
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.44/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.16
+23% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1-2
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv nicked a narrow win over Karpaty Lviv 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Karpaty Lviv at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Karpaty Lviv 1-2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 42%, draw 25%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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