Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.64
Away Pick
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.75
Over
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dynamo Kiev win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
57%
Away Win
57%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 61%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.75/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.10
-26% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
05.05.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 5-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
28.10.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
24.05.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-3 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
13.11.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
28.08.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 7-0 HT 6-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
2-1
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka edged past Dynamo Kiev 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dynamo Kiev at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kolos Kovalivka had 40% of the ball to Dynamo Kiev's 60%, shots finished 14-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 2.83 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kiev?

Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 21%, draw 22%, Dynamo Kiev 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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