Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Obolon Kyiv v Shakhtar Donetsk — Team-Based Signals
Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
4-0
HT 1-0
Obolon Kyiv
UKR
0-3
HT 0-2
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
1-0
HT 0-0
Obolon Kyiv
UKR
Shakhtar Donetsk ran out comfortable winners over Obolon Kyiv 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Obolon Kyiv and 2.50 for Shakhtar Donetsk.
What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Obolon Kyiv 0-6 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 11%, draw 17%, Shakhtar Donetsk 72%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.