Hearts 2-1 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 22 Dec 2024

Hearts
2-1 HT 1-0
St. Johnstone
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hearts vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.13
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
20%
3.8
X/2
9%
10.2
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
11%
8.35
2/X
6%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.71/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
+13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
26.5 Crosses 17.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hearts vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
6W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Johnstone
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.51 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
370 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
07.02.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
25.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.08.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
04.03.2023 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
28.12.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-3 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP

Hearts 2-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-1
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.73 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
304 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts squeezed past St. Johnstone 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hearts had 49% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.73 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Johnstone.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hearts and 0.50 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Hearts vs St. Johnstone?

Hearts 2-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hearts 49%, draw 24%, St. Johnstone 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ BTTS No
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