Hearts vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 2-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts shaded a tight game against St. Johnstone 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 49%.
On the day, St. Johnstone saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.73 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Johnstone.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Hearts against 0.50 for St. Johnstone.
Hearts vs St. Johnstone Result & Final Score
Hearts 2 - 1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs St. Johnstone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hearts 59%, draw 23%, St. Johnstone 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.