Burgos vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Tenerife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-1
HT 0-1
Burgos
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Tenerife
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Tenerife
İS2
4-0
HT 2-0
Burgos
İS2
Burgos 1-0 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos nicked a narrow win over Tenerife 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Burgos had 60% of the ball to Tenerife's 40%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.68 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Burgos's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burgos and 1.67 for Tenerife.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Tenerife?
Burgos 1-0 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Tenerife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Burgos 50%, draw 25%, Tenerife 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.