Burgos 1-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

Burgos
1-1 HT 0-1
Tenerife
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Burgos vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.44/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
+32% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.4 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Burgos vs Tenerife Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Tenerife
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.02 xG 1.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
268 Passes 353
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 2-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
20.05.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 2-1 HT 0-1 Burgos Burgos İS2
05.11.2022 Burgos Burgos 0-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
27.03.2022 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
01.11.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 4-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2

Burgos 1-1 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
1-1
AWAY Tenerife
2.50 xG 1.69
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
453 Passes 199
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos and Tenerife couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Burgos had 65% of the ball to Tenerife's 35%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.50 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Burgos and 1.80 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Tenerife?

Burgos 1-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burgos 46%, draw 26%, Tenerife 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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