Sporting Gijon 1-0 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.64
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1
17%
5.63
X/2
12%
6.01
X/X
10%
4.21
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.0
2/X
9%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.31
+18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.3 Crosses 20.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Eibar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
272 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
20.05.2023 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
17.10.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
05.02.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
19.09.2021 Eibar Eibar 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
06.12.2018 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-0
AWAY Eibar
1.28 xG 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
315 Passes 415
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon squeezed past Eibar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 45% of the ball to Eibar's 55%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.28 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.50 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?

Sporting Gijon 1-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 44%, draw 25%, Eibar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5
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