Elche 1-2 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.3
X/1
21%
3.66
X/2
11%
10.55
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
10%
9.18
2/X
6%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.62/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.57
-10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
25.0 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Eldense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.25 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
371 Passes 194
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Eldense Eldense 1-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
18.07.2015 Eldense Eldense 0-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche HAZ
19.07.2014 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
1-2
AWAY Eldense
1.18 xG 0.91
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
446 Passes 159
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elche vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense squeezed past Elche 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elche at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Elche had 69% of the ball to Eldense's 31%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.18 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elche and 0.33 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Elche vs Eldense?

Elche 1-2 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elche 51%, draw 23%, Eldense 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
26 May 2024
19:30 Amorebieta vs Espanyol Analysis →
19:30 Real Oviedo vs FC Andorra Analysis →
19:30 Sporting Gijon vs Eibar Analysis →
19:30 Valladolid vs Villarreal II Analysis →
19:30 Racing Santander vs Real Zaragoza Analysis →
19:30 Levante vs Alcorcon Analysis →