Levante 2-2 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
23%
4.24
X/2
10%
8.0
X/X
15%
5.06
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
7%
5.95
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.9pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.41
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.2 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.04 xG 1.07
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
421 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS2
28.01.2017 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-0 HT 2-0 Levante Levante İS2
28.08.2016 Levante Levante 2-0 HT 2-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
11.01.2012 Levante Levante 4-0 HT 2-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İSPK
03.01.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
2-2
AWAY Alcorcon
1.12 xG 0.94
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 6
446 Passes 255
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante and Alcorcon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Levante at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levante had 61% of the ball to Alcorcon's 39%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.12 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Levante and 0.80 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Levante vs Alcorcon?

Levante 2-2 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Levante 51%, draw 27%, Alcorcon 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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