Amorebieta 0-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 33% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.85
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.63
X/2
17%
4.84
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.1
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.70
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +71%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.4 Crosses 20.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Espanyol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.94 xG 3.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
274 Passes 440
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 3-2 HT 0-2 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
0-0
AWAY Espanyol
0.40 xG 0.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
193 Passes 449
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta and Espanyol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Amorebieta had 36% of the ball to Espanyol's 64%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.40 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Espanyol?

Amorebieta 0-0 Espanyol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 35%, draw 25%, Espanyol 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Espanyol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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