Barcelona II 2-2 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -21%
1.61/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.51
+41% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
19.11.2022 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-0 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona II
2-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barcelona II vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II and Athletic Bilbao II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona II had 52% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 48%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barcelona II and 0.50 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Barcelona II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Barcelona II 2-2 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barcelona II 34%, draw 26%, Athletic Bilbao II 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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