Milan II 1-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.04
2-3 Goals
47%
1.75
4-5 Goals
12%
5.55
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 52%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.71
-100% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Virtus Entella
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 0-0 Milan II Milan II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
1-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella squeezed past Milan II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milan II had 38% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 62%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Virtus Entella?

Milan II 1-2 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Milan II 29%, draw 28%, Virtus Entella 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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