Pergolettese 1-0 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.25
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.37
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
24.02.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
21.10.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
19.03.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
19.11.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
01.05.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
1-0
AWAY Pro Vercelli
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese nicked a narrow win over Pro Vercelli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Pergolettese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Pergolettese had 53% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 47%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pergolettese and 0.50 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli?

Pergolettese 1-0 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 39%, draw 28%, Pro Vercelli 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pergolettese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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