Trento AC 0-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.01/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.83
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
10.02.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
30.09.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-3 HT 0-2 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
08.04.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
04.12.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
20.02.2022 Trento AC Trento AC 2-2 HT 1-2 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
0-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio squeezed past Trento AC 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trento AC had 53% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 47%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trento AC and 2.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Padova Calcio?

Trento AC 0-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 28%, draw 27%, Padova Calcio 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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