Pro Vercelli 1-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.46
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.07/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.33
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pergolettese
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
21.10.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
19.03.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
19.11.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
01.05.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
26.03.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-0
AWAY Pergolettese
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli nicked a narrow win over Pergolettese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Pro Vercelli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 57% of the ball to Pergolettese's 43%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.00 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese?

Pro Vercelli 1-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 36%, draw 25%, Pergolettese 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pergolettese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
26 Aug 2024
21:30 Crotone vs Team Altamura Analysis →
21:45 Athletic Carpi vs Rimini Analysis →
21:45 Foggia Calcio vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →
21:45 Padova Calcio vs Trento AC Analysis →
21:45 Sassari Torres vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →
21:45 Benevento vs Cavese Analysis →