Athletic Carpi 2-2 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 33% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.9pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +102%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
2-2
AWAY Rimini
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi and Rimini couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 49% of the ball to Rimini's 51%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Rimini?

Athletic Carpi 2-2 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 34%, draw 29%, Rimini 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rimini) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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