Benevento 2-1 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.65/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.65
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
2-1
AWAY Cavese
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento edged past Cavese 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Benevento had 67% of the ball to Cavese's 33%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Cavese?

Benevento 2-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Benevento 53%, draw 26%, Cavese 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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