Shamakhi 3-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.13
No
67%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
43%
-9.8pp
67%
BTTS No
57%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
0.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.72
-54% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sabah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 2-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
29.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
25.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.12.2022 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
02.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
24.04.2022 Sabah Sabah 5-1 HT 3-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi saw off Sabah 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamakhi and 1.83 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Sabah?

Shamakhi 3-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 18%, draw 29%, Sabah 53%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
22 Dec 2024
15:30 Karabağ vs Araz Nahçıvan Analysis →