Karabağ 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.74/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.83
+42% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +103%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
6 Corners 8
02.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-4 HT 0-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
23.01.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
30.10.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
20.08.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 2-1 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ saw off Araz Nahçıvan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Karabağ and 1.25 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Karabağ 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 57%, draw 21%, Araz Nahçıvan 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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22 Dec 2024
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