Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.45
1/2
7%
22.1
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
11%
9.11
X/2
10%
4.33
X/X
7%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.28
2/X
9%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
23%
+11.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.34/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.73
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -34%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.3
18.4 Crosses 18.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ajax
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.66 xG 2.57
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
217 Passes 576
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 47
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 HT 1-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
09.12.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-1 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
19.02.2023 Ajax Ajax 4-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
21.08.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
09.04.2022 Ajax Ajax 2-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.11.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
AWAY Ajax
0.58 xG 1.47
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
292 Passes 537
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax beat Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ajax found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 38% of the ball to Ajax's 62%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.58 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.00 for Ajax.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 35%, draw 25%, Ajax 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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