Balzan FC 2-1 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.3pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.30/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
08.03.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
05.11.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
2-1
AWAY Naxxar Lions
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC nicked a narrow win over Naxxar Lions 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Balzan FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balzan FC had 55% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 45%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Balzan FC and 1.00 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Balzan FC 2-1 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 41%, draw 26%, Naxxar Lions 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Balzan FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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