Diriangen 3-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.14/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.97
-22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
15.09.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.05.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.12.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
18.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
3-2
AWAY Real Esteli
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen squeezed past Real Esteli 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Diriangen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Diriangen had 53% of the ball to Real Esteli's 47%, shots finished 15-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Diriangen and 0.33 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Diriangen 3-2 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 39%, draw 29%, Real Esteli 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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